Conflict Prevention Priorities: Three Things to Know
Videos

Conflict Prevention Priorities: Three Things to Know

December 19, 2012 5:10 pm (EST)

Conflict Prevention Priorities: Three Things to Know
Explainer Video

Every year, CFR’s Center for Preventive Action surveys leading experts to rank conflict prevention priorities based on their potential impact on U.S. interests and their likelihood of occurring in the coming year. Paul B. Stares, General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention and Director of the Center for Preventive Action at CFR highlights some of the top preventive priorities for the United States in 2013:

More From Our Experts
  • Syria’s Civil War – "The intensification of Syria’s civil war including possible limited external intervention was judged to have the highest priority," says Stares. The Syrian conflict was the only contingency that the survey found both likely to come to a head in the next year, and also likely to have substantial impact for U.S. interests.
  • Iran’s Nuclear Standoff – An Israeli military strike to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities remains plausible in the coming year, according to the survey. "Such an attack could have a profound effect on stability in the region and embroil the United States in the conflict that would likely ensue if Iran chooses to retaliate," says Stares.
  • East Asia Territorial Disputes – The survey found continued escalation of tensions in the South China Sea and East China Sea is yet another plausible contingency which would have significant implications for U.S. interests. "This applies in particular to a potential Sino-Japanese clash over the disputed islands in the East China Sea," says Stares, "if there is an armed clash, the United States would likely be drawn in because of its treaty obligations to Japan."

Top Stories on CFR

Russia

Liana Fix, a fellow for Europe at CFR, and Thomas Graham, a distinguished fellow at CFR, sit down with James M. Lindsay to discuss the future of U.S. policy toward Russia and the risks posed by heightened tensions between two nuclear powers. This episode is the first in a special TPI series on the U.S. 2024 presidential election and is supported by the Carnegie Corporation of New York.

Terrorism and Counterterrorism

Violence around U.S. elections in 2024 could not only destabilize American democracy but also embolden autocrats across the world. Jacob Ware recommends that political leaders take steps to shore up civic trust and remove the opportunity for violence ahead of the 2024 election season.

China

Those seeking to profit from fentanyl and governments seeking to control its supply are locked in a never-ending competition, with each new countermeasure spurring further innovation to circumvent it.